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EB Can't Win Without Bad Luck for NH

He will win if he can beat Nicky by 36 points for the rest of the season. The magic number for Haydon is maximum points left to win minus 34, max points being Superpole points plus lap-lead points plus win points times the number of remaining races.

Nicky could dnf one race and still win, and if he top-fives the rest of the season, he's the champ.

Obviously, if Haydon were hurt and missed some races, Bostrom would be the beneficiary, if you can call that winning.
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