I won't recheck your calculations,but they intuitively seem about right. However, I would clarify that the lean angles you cite refer to the angle between the center of the contact patch and the center of gravity of the bike/rider unit. With very wide tires, the contact patch moves well to the inside as the bike leans, requiring the bike itself to lean further, partially offset by the amount by which the rider leans off.
If you examine pictures of GP bikes, or even AMA Superbikes, the apparent lean angle of the bike looks to be well past 45 degrees.
Even if the maximum vertical component relative to the track is as high as 50%, this is still a significant problem. Assuming that the bike encounters a vertical bump of 1". If the suspension fully absorbs that bump, there will also be a horizonal suspension deflection of 1" so either the bike or the tire's contact patch deviates from its intended course. Given the realtive inertia of the bike and rider, it is likely that the tire does most of the deviation. In either case, traction is seriously compromised.
It is always a pleasure discussing technical issues with you, and I always come away with a better understanding of the subject as a result.
Best Regards
Bob